Crude Steel Market to exceed US$ 1,582.03 Billion by 2031

Published on 19-Sep-2025
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Report : Crude Steel Market Report: Size, Share and Outlook by 2031

The scope of our recent study on the "Crude Steel Market Forecast to 2031 - Global Analysis - by product type, manufacturing process, and end-use industry" includes the factors fueling the crude steel market growth, revenue estimation, and forecast, market share analysis, and the identification of significant market players and their key developments.

The crude steel market size is projected to reach US$ 1,582.03 billion by 2031 from US$ 1,177.55 billion in 2024. The market is expected to register a CAGR of 4.3% during 2025-2031.

Crude steel refers to steel in its first solid form after it is produced in a steelmaking furnace, before any substantial downstream processing (such as rolling, coating, or finishing). It is essentially the output from basic steelmaking, which can be subsequently shaped into finished steel products. The production involves converting raw inputs - typically iron ore, coal (or coke), and/or recycled steel (scrap) - through processes like the blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace (BF-BOF) route, or newer and more flexible routes such as electric arc furnace (EAF) or direct reduced iron (DRI) methods. Crude steel is the raw feedstock for the construction, automotive, industrial machinery, and infrastructure sectors.

The global demand for crude steel is influenced by several interconnected driving factors. One of the most prominent is the growth of infrastructure and urbanization, particularly in developing economies. Rapid expansion of cities, transportation systems, and housing projects requires significant volumes of steel, which is essential for everything from reinforcing concrete in buildings and bridges to forming the structural frames of highways and airports. Moreover, government-backed infrastructure programs-especially those aimed at post-pandemic economic recovery or long-term modernization-have continued to spur steel consumption. This is particularly visible in countries like India, Indonesia, and various African nations, where per capita steel consumption is still growing and large-scale urbanization projects are ongoing.

Another key driver is the automotive and transportation sector. As global vehicle production rises to meet both consumer demand and government targets-particularly for electric vehicles (EVs)-steel remains indispensable. Advanced high-strength steels are increasingly favored for their ability to reduce vehicle weight while enhancing safety and crash performance. This is crucial in achieving fuel efficiency and adhering to stringent emissions regulations. Additionally, transportation infrastructure-including railways, ports, and public transit-further fuels demand for steel, especially as countries transition toward more sustainable and efficient mobility systems.

The manufacturing and industrial machinery sectors also contribute significantly to the market. Growth in factory automation, heavy equipment, and production facilities means increased steel usage in machinery components, plant structures, and fabricated parts. As economies diversify their industrial bases and aim for self-sufficiency, particularly in Asia and Latin America, the demand for crude steel is expected to grow accordingly.

Government policies, including trade regulations, tariffs, environmental standards, and public investments, play a substantial role in shaping the crude steel industry. Protective tariffs and subsidies can support domestic production, while environmental regulations increasingly influence how steel is produced. At the same time, energy prices and the availability of raw materials such as iron ore, coking coal, and scrap steel have become pivotal factors in determining production costs and investment decisions. The volatility of these inputs, compounded by geopolitical uncertainties and supply chain disruptions, often impacts regional competitiveness and shifts the balance of trade.

Emerging markets represent a significant growth frontier for crude steel. While China remains the largest producer and consumer, its steel demand is stabilizing as its economy matures and construction growth slows. In contrast, countries like India are witnessing robust expansion, driven by large infrastructure initiatives, housing development, and industrial growth. Southeast Asian nations, parts of the Middle East, and several African countries are also expanding their steel-making capacity to reduce import dependence and support domestic industries. Regional growth is further supported by shifting supply chain strategies, where companies aim to localize sourcing to mitigate geopolitical risks and reduce carbon footprints.

At the same time, product innovation is playing an increasingly important role. The development of specialized steel grades-such as ultra-high strength, corrosion-resistant, or heat-tolerant steels-is expanding steel's applicability in advanced manufacturing, including aerospace, defense, and electric vehicle components. R&D in metallurgy and material science is helping steel producers meet new performance standards while enhancing operational efficiency and profitability.

The digital transformation of the steel industry is another trend gaining momentum. Smart manufacturing techniques, including automation, predictive maintenance, data analytics, and artificial intelligence, are helping optimize energy use, improve quality control, and reduce production downtime. Digitalization supports sustainability goals and enhances operational agility, particularly in volatile market conditions.

One of the most significant growth opportunities lies in the decarbonization of steel production. The traditional BF-BOF route is among the most carbon-intensive industrial processes, contributing roughly 7-9% of global CO? emissions. In response, the industry is undergoing a profound transition toward cleaner technologies, such as hydrogen-based direct reduced iron (DRI), the expanded use of electric arc furnaces powered by renewable energy, and carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) systems. These innovations, often termed "green steel" initiatives, are receiving increasing attention from regulators, investors, and customers. Early adopters of low-carbon steel production may benefit from carbon credits, premium pricing, and preferential procurement-especially from ESG-focused buyers.

Another promising area is the growth of renewable energy infrastructure. Wind turbines, solar panel mounts, and electrical grid systems are steel-intensive, and as countries ramp up their renewable capacity to meet climate targets, the associated steel demand is expected to increase. Similarly, the circular economy presents opportunities for growth through expanded recycling efforts. EAF-based production, which uses scrap steel instead of virgin ore and coke, is more energy-efficient and emits significantly less CO?. Countries with robust scrap collection systems and clean electricity grids are well-positioned to expand EAF capacity.

The crude steel market forecast can help stakeholders plan their growth strategies. ArcelorMittal SA, Jindal Steel & Power Ltd, China BaoWu Steel Group Corporation Limited, Nippon Steel Corp, Tata Steel Ltd, JFE Steel Corp, Jiangsu Shagang Group Co Ltd, China Ansteel Group Corporation Limited, Posco Holdings Inc, and Delong Metal Product Co Ltd are among the prominent players profiled in the crude steel market report. These market players are focusing on providing high-quality products to fulfill customer demand. They are also adopting new product launches, capacity expansions, partnerships, and collaborations to stay competitive in the crude steel market.

Global Crude Steel Market Breakdown - by Region

The report includes the segmentation of the global crude steel market as follows:

The geographic scope of the crude steel market report focuses on North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, the Middle East & Africa, and South & Central America. The market in North America is further segmented into the US, Canada, and Mexico. The market in Europe is segmented into Germany, France, the UK, Italy, Russia, and the Rest of Europe. The Asia Pacific market is further segmented into China, India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, and the Rest of the Asia Pacific. The Middle East & Africa crude steel market is segmented into South Africa, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and the Rest of the Middle East & Africa. The market in South & Central America is further segmented into Brazil, Argentina, and the Rest of South & Central America.

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